November 6, 2016

Poll: Clinton up by 5 in NM as Election Day nears

WEBN-TV (l) Gage Skidmore (r)

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump at recent rallies. (Flickr/cc, Flickr/cc)

A poll by Research and Polling, Inc. for the Albuquerque Journal released Sunday shows Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump by 5 percent in New Mexico, days before Election Day.

Research and Polling, which conducts polls for the Journal, is the only pollster that uses live interviews to poll in New Mexico this year.

The poll, conducted from Nov. 1 to 3, shows 45 percent of likely voters say they will vote for Clinton, while 40 percent say they will vote for Trump. Former Gov. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian nominee, saw his support fall to 11 percent. Green Party nominee Jill Stein’s support is at 3 percent.

The poll found Hispanic voters back Clinton by a 54 percent to 27 percent margin over Trump, while Johnson trailed both with 14 percent of the support from Hispanic voters.

Among Anglo voters, 48 percent say they will support Trump, 41 percent say they will vote Clinton and 7 percent say they will support Johnson.

The Albuquerque Journal poll also looked at the race for Secretary of State and for a seat on the state Supreme Court.

In the Secretary of State race, Democrat Maggie Toulouse Oliver has a double-digit lead over Republican Nora Espinoza. The poll shows 53 percent of likely New Mexico voters prefer Toulouse Oliver while 40 percent prefer Espinoza.

Toulouse Oliver is the Bernalillo County Clerk, while Espinoza is a state representative.

The race for a seat on the state Supreme Court is much more competitive. The poll shows a dead heat, with Republican Judith Nakamura and Democrat Michael Vigil each with the support of 45 percent of likely voters. Nakamura is currently on the Supreme Court after Gov. Susana Martinez appointed her to the position.

The margin of error in the poll of 504 likely voters is +/- 4.4 percent. The poll was conducted of both voters via landlines and cell phones and looked at both those who have voted early or absentee and those who plan on voting on Election Day.