A poll finds that the Democratic incumbent has a significant lead in the race for New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District, considered a swing district key to which party will control the U.S. House next year.
The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA for KOB-TV, found that Gabe Vasquez, the Democratic candidate, leads Yvette Herrell, the Republican candidate, 51 percent to 42 percent among likely voters. Another eight percent say they are undecided. Numbers in polls can sometimes not add up to 100 percent because of rounding.
The race has been in many ways a mirror of national elections, with Vasquez focusing on reproductive rights and Herrell focusing on immigration and crime.
According to KOB, 28 percent of likely voters said immigration and the border would have the most impact on their vote, while 17 percent said abortion would have the most impact on their vote.
SurveyUSA polled 582 likely voters in the 2nd Congressional District between Sept. 26 and 30. These results include a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. The KOB story did not include information on the methodology, but previous polls by the firm included those who said they were almost certain or 100 percent certain they would vote in the upcoming elections, and data weighted to U.S. Census data and the 2020 presidential vote.