A new poll finds Vice President Kamala Harris, a Democrat, leads former President Donald Trump, a Republican, by 10 points as the campaign season heats up and early and absentee voting nears. The same poll finds that incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich leads Republican Nella Domenici by 12 points in the Senate race.
The poll, conducted by Research and Polling, Inc. for the Albuquerque Journal, found 49 percent of likely voters said they will vote for Harris, while 39 percent will support Trump. Even though Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race, and endorsed Trump, his name remains on the ballot in New Mexico and 3 percent of voters said they would support the independent.
An Emerson College poll conducted in mid-August found a similar margin, with Harris leading by 11 points.
In the Senate race, Heinrich leads among likely voters 50 percent to 38 percent. Another 9 percent said they were undecided and 4 percent said they wouldn’t vote for either candidate.
This is Heinrich’s third Senate election, winning in 2012 and 2018. Domenici is the daughter of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici, the longest serving Senator in New Mexico history.
Details
According to the Albuquerque Journal story announcing the presidential results, Harris has a large lead among women, 54 percent to 33 percent over Trump. Trump, meanwhile, has a slight edge among men, 46 percent to 44 percent over Harris.
Regionally, Trump is strongest in the eastern portion of the state, 56 percent to 29 percent for Harris. However, Harris leads in all other regions, including the Albuquerque metro area, 54 percent to 38 percent. In the southwest portion of the state, Harris leads 46 percent to 42 percent.
In the Senate race, the poll found Heinrich leads among women 55 percent to 33 percent, while Heinrich led by two points among male voters, 45 percent to 43 percent.
The poll of 532 likely voters took place between Sept. 6 and Sept. 13, though they did not conduct polls the night of Sept. 10, which was the night of a presidential debate. The pollster used live interviewers to poll voters by landline (12 percent) and cell phone (88 percent). The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points.
