Both state parties say their nominee won the debate

The first presidential debate of the general election is over after more than an hour and a half of sometimes heated back-and-forths between the two candidates. The debate featured Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump facing off as polls show an extremely close race. In New Mexico, not surprisingly, both state parties said that their nominee was the winner of the debate, in press releases that came just minutes apart. Democratic Party of New Mexico chairwoman Deb Haaland said that Clinton “focused on the issues, gave substantive answers and reiterated that we’re stronger together.”

“In stark contrast, Donald Trump was unprepared, didn’t give any specifics, and once again showed that he doesn’t have the temperament to lead our country,” she continued. “This debate made the choice very clear, and I feel more confident than ever that New Mexicans will vote for Hillary Clinton this November.

Gary Johnson radio ads hit seven states

Gary Johnson is putting some money behind ads to boost his campaign in a handful states, including his home state of New Mexico. The Libertarian Party presidential nominee, a former two-term governor of New Mexico, is airing radio ads in seven states, according to Politico. The Washington D.C.-based news organization cited “a media buying source” who said Johnson is spending over $800,000 in Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah and Wisconsin. When Johnson ran as a Libertarian Party candidate in 2012, he performed best in New Mexico, taking nearly 4 percent of the overall vote. Nationwide, Johnson received just under 1 percent of the vote.

Full results of NM Political Report’s poll

We commissioned a poll from Public Policy Polling this week to answer some questions we—and apparently many others—had been wondering about. We wrote about each of the questions we commission from the company throughout the week; but there still is a lot of information to dig into, so we decided to release the full toplines and crosstabs as well for readers to dig through. Here are the previous posts on the poll, and the full results are available at the bottom of this post. Poll: NM voters support bringing back the death penalty
Poll: Clinton leads Trump in NM, Toulouse Oliver leads SOS race
Martinez approval rating hits new low
Poll: Here’s how voters want lawmakers to fix the budget deficit
FiveThirtyEight looks at NM Political Report’s poll

The pollster surveyed 80 percent of respondents by landline phone and 20 percent via internet panels, aimed a cell phone-only voters. Public Policy Polling conducted the poll based on questions submitted by NM Political Report.

Poll: Here’s how voters want lawmakers to fix the budget deficit

Delaying or freezing corporate income tax cuts and across-the-board budget cuts are two of the most popular proposals for bridging the state’s large budget deficit. That comes from a poll conducted by Public Policy Polling for NM Political Report. Respondents were asked to choose from a list of five options for balancing the budget. The options were “Delaying or freezing corporate income tax cuts,” “bringing back taxes on food and medicine,” “increasing the state gasoline tax,” “cutting education spending” and “enacting across-the-board spending cuts.”

After choosing their top choice, respondents were also asked to choose a second-best option from the same list. In both cases, respondents saw delaying incoming corporate income tax cuts delay and enacting across-the-board spending cuts as the two most popular choices.

FiveThirtyEight looks at NM Political Report’s poll

Thursday, FiveThirtyEight cited the most recent NM Political Report poll as an example of a rare poll being done in a relatively Democratic, or blue, state. Nate Silver, the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, wrote an analysis about the “blue state polling abyss.” He write polls in traditionally Democratic states, including the poll commissioned by NM Political Report for Public Policy Polling, give valuable data for the presidential election. Meanwhile, pollsters have been polling some traditionally Republican states, citing South Carolina and Missouri, writing, “Pollsters seem to think it’s more fun to poll” these states than traditional Democratic states. He does note “those states have been tight in recent surveys.”

These states, Silver says, are unlikely to be important in the grand scheme of things this November. In any election in which she wins South Carolina, for example, Clinton will almost certainly have already won North Carolina and probably also Georgia, meaning that she’ll be on track for 300-plus electoral votes with or without the Palmetto State.

Martinez approval rating hits new low

Gov. Susana Martinez’s approval rating now sits at 43 percent, down from a May poll which found her approval rating at 47 percent. Both polls were conducted by Public Policy Polling for NM Political Report. The latest poll shows Martinez’s lowest approval rating in a public poll since first taking office in 2011. And now just as many registered voters don’t approve of her job performance as those who approve. Martinez’s disapproval rating barely changed, from 42 percent in May to 43 percent in August, but her approval rating dropped four percent in the last three months.

Poll: Clinton leads Trump in NM, Toulouse Oliver leads SOS race

The Democrats running for president and Secretary of State continue to lead in their races, though a third party candidate on the presidential ballot who is familiar to New Mexicans is getting a lot of support. A poll commissioned by NM Political Report and conducted by Public Policy Polling finds Hillary Clinton leading in a four-way race for president with 40 percent support among New Mexico registered voters. Republican candidate Donald Trump trails Clinton with 31 percent of support while Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 16 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein 4 percent. Related: Poll: NM voters support bringing back the death penalty

Only 9 percent of registered voters remain undecided in the presidential race, according to the poll. Johnson is a former two-term governor of New Mexico.

Poll: NM voters support bringing back the death penalty

New Mexico voters support Gov. Susana Martinez’s proposal to bring back the death penalty, a poll commissioned by NM Political Report found. The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling, found that 59 percent of registered New Mexico voters support the proposal to bring back the death penalty for those who kill police officers or children. Meanwhile, 34 percent support current penalties of life in prison and restitution for families. Only eight percent are undecided, showing how hot button the issue is already. Related: Call for death penalty echoes Legislature’s ‘tough on crime’ session

Men are slightly more likely to support bringing back the death penalty.

Full results of NM Political Report’s PPP poll

We commissioned a Public Policy Polling poll this weekend to look at a handful of questions related to New Mexico and national politics. The poll surveyed 802 likely New Mexico voters from May 13 to May 15. The topline results have a +/- 3.5 percent margin of error. We’ve released some results throughout the week already:

Clinton leads in NM in three-way race
Clinton, Trump have high negatives among likely New Mexico voters
Martinez approval rating below 50 percent
Balderas, Berry lead 2018 gubernatorial contenders
Toulouse Oliver leads Espinoza in Secretary of State race

Our news partners at ABQ Free Press also received the results, which should appear in the May 18 edition of the paper, which hits the streets in the afternoon. We also promised that we would release the full crosstabs later in the week; it is now later in the week.

Toulouse Oliver leads Espinoza

Bernalillo County Clerk Maggie Toulouse Oliver leads State Rep. Nora Espinoza in the race for Secretary of State. That’s according to results from a poll of likely New Mexico voters by Public Policy Polling, commissioned by NM Political Report. Toulouse Oliver, the lone Democrat, has the support of 43 percent of voters. Espinoza, the lone Republican, has the support of 36 percent of voters. There are still 21 percent who say they aren’t sure who they will vote for this November.