2018 election

More polls in the U.S. Senate race

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The flood of U.S. Senate polls since Gary Johnson entered the race continued this week. Two new partisan polls show different visions of the U.S. Senate race, but both show the incumbent leading while the insurgent Libertarian candidate trails in third place. One newly-released poll by Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner Research for The Majority Institute, an organization that seeks to elect Democrats to the U.S. Senate, showed Heinrich with the support of 48 percent of likely voters, compared to 33 percent for Republican Mick Rich and 17 percent for Johnson, a former governor. The poll was conducted in early August, before Johnson formally entered the race. Another poll released before Johnson formally entered the race showed the same order.

Border Wall

Poll: Close governor’s race, Johnson in 2nd in Senate race

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The race for New Mexico governor is tight, while the incumbent Democratic U.S. senator holds a sizeable lead over his two challengers, according to a new poll from Emerson College. The poll, conducted last week, via calls to landlines and online surveys and released Monday morning, shows Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham with a two point lead over Republican nominee Steve Pearce, 42 percent to 40 percent. The poll shows 18 percent of voters polled are still undecided. The poll is of registered voters. Both candidates are leaving their respective congressional seats to run for governor.

Donald Trump

Trump’s approval rating in NM continues to fall

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New Mexico voters have soured on President Donald Trump, bringing his already-low statewide approval rating down below 40 percent in January. That’s according to numbers from pollster Morning Consult.

Pollsters found that in January 2017, when he was inaugurated, 52 percent of New Mexico voters approved of Trump’s job performance. But just one year into his four-year term, that number plummeted to 39 percent. His disapproval rating in the state also increased, from 35 percent in 2017 to 58 percent in 2018. Nationwide, however, his approval rating rose.

Susana Martinez

Martinez approval ratings continue to fall

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Gov. Susana Martinez’s approval rating remained among the worst in the nation at the end of 2017, according to a recent poll. The poll finds that 57 percent of New Mexico voters disapprove of her job performance, compared to just 33 percent who approve. That disapproval number is the fifth-worst in the nation and two of the governors below her have since left office. Her approval rating, meanwhile, is seventh-worst among all governors polled. Her job approval ratings in the last three months of 2017 also showed a drop from the previous ratings, released in October of last year.

Polling

More New Mexicans approve of Heinrich, Udall’s job performance than disapprove

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Almost half of New Mexicans approve of the way their U.S. Senators are doing their jobs, while less than a third disapprove. That’s according to the latest Morning Consult approval ratings. The poll conducted in late 2017 found that 49 percent of New Mexico registered voters approve of Tom Udall’s job performance, while 29 percent disapproved and 2 percent had no opinion. Martin Heinrich’s approval rating sat at 46 percent, while 29 percent disapproved and 24 percent had no opinion. The numbers do not always add up to 100 percent because of rounding.

Donald Trump

Poll: Trump’s approval rating underwater in NM

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President Donald Trump’s approval rating in New Mexico is underwater, a big drop from when  he first entered office in January and more New Mexicans approved of his job performance. Those numbers come from Morning Consult, which released the presidential approval ratings for each of the 50 states Tuesday. In January, 52 percent of voters approved of Trump, while 35 percent disapproved. In September, that number saw a big shift, with 52 percent disapproving of his job performance and 43 percent approving. New Mexico’s equaled nationwide numbers with 52 percent disapproving and 43 percent approving of Trump’s job performance in September.

Albuquerque Journal

Another poll shows Keller lead, high number of undecideds in ABQ mayor’s race

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The latest poll of the Albuquerque mayoral race shows State Auditor Tim Keller leading the field, but still well below the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff. Other recent polls have also reflected Keller’s popularity among voters. But all three polls, the Research and Polling, Inc. poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal and two conducted earlier, show a high number of undecided voters. Election Day is Oct. 3 and early voting has already opened.

Susana Martinez

Martinez approval rating ticks up slightly, but she remains near bottom

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Gov. Susana Martinez’s approval ratings bumped up slightly in the latest results from Morning Consult.

The poll showed that Martinez’s approval rating among registered voters moved back toward even, with 44 percent approval and 45 percent disapproval and 10 percent undecided. Martinez is the 10th-least popular governor out of 49 polled. In the Morning Consult’s April poll, 44 percent approved of Martinez’s job performance while 48 percent disapproved. The difference in results is within the poll’s margin of error. While Martinez is near the bottom of the ratings, she is well ahead of those at the very bottom—Kansas’ Sam Brownback and New Jersey’s Chris Christie have approval ratings of just 25 percent against disapproval ratings of 66 percent and 69 percent.

2018 elections

GOP poll shows Lujan Grisham with slight lead over Pearce in race for governor

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A poll by a Republican pollster finds that Democratic candidate Michelle Lujan Grisham leads Steve Pearce in a hypothetical matchup—but also that there are still a large number of undecided voters. The poll, conducted by The Tarrance Group in late May, found that when the two U.S. Representatives are matched up against each other, Lujan Grisham leads Pearce 47 percent to 43 percent with 10 percent undecided. The Tarrance Group lists Pearce as a former client on its website, though the polling memo does not indicate who paid for the poll. Notably, the firm polled for the Republican in 2010, when he successfully ran against Harry Teague to retake the 2nd Congressional District seat. Pearce left the seat in 2008 to run for U.S. Senate.

Elections

Poll: Clinton lead over Trump in NM is 5

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A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by just 5 percent in New Mexico. The survey by ZiaPoll, a new pollster this election cycle, shows Clinton leads 45 percent to 40 percent over Trump, with Libertarian Party nominee earning the support of 9 percent of likely voters, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein trails at 2 percent. The poll is in sharp contrast to polls of other surrounding states, which shows Clinton behind by a handful of points in deep-red Texas and in a very close race, possibly even ahead, in Arizona. A previous poll by ZiaPoll showed Clinton leading by 10 percent. In the press release announcing the results, the pollster said Trump was actually leading among voters between 18-34 years old.